ket qua bong da khong chi la nhung pha bong dep mat tren san co ma con la mot the gioi day mau sac cua nhung con so va du doan. Doi voi nhung nguoi dam me ca cuoc hoac don gian la muon hieu sau hon ve dien bien tran dau, viec nam bat duoc su "ro rang" trong cac keo ket qua bong da la mot ky nang vo gia. Nhung lam the nao de phan biet giua mot keo cuoc co ve hien nhien va mot keo an chua nhieu bat ngo? Bai viet nay se di sau phan tich su khac biet va y nghia cua cac loai keo ket qua bong da thuong gap, giup ban co cai nhin sac net hon truoc moi tieng coi khai cuoc.

Phan Tich Su "Ro Rang" Trong Keo Chau A (Handicap)

Keo Chau A, hay con goi la Keo chap (Handicap), la loai keo pho bien nhat, the hien ro rang nhat su chenh lech thuc luc giua hai doi. Su "ro rang" o day nam o muc chap duoc dua ra.

Neu doi A chap doi B toi -2.5, dieu nay ngu y rang cac nha cai danh gia doi A manh hon mot cach vuot troi. Keo nay duoc coi la ro rang ve mat suc manh tuong doi. Nguoi choi dat cuoc vao doi A can thang voi cach biet tu 3 ban tro len de thang keo. Nguoc lai, neu doi cua tren chi chap o muc -0.25 hoac 0 (dong banh), su ro rang bi mo nhat di, cho thay tran dau co kha nang can bang cao, hoac co yeu to bat ngo tiem an.

Mot keo chap ro rang thuong di kem voi ty le an (odds) thap hon cho doi cua tren. Day la tin hieu dau tien cho thay thi truong da dinh hinh duoc doi nao co loi the ap dao. Tuy nhien, doi khi, mot keo chap qua ro rang lai la cai bay tinh vi. Cac doi manh thuong khong bung het suc khi doi dau voi doi yeu hon neu muc tieu chinh la giai dau dai hoi, khien keo thang dam tro nen kho khan hon ve ngoai.

Keo Tai Xiu (Over/Under): Muc Do De Doan Cua Tong Ban Thang

Keo Tai Xiu tap trung vao tong so ban thang duoc ghi trong tran dau, thuong duoc dat o muc 2.5, 3.0 hoac 3.5. Su ro rang cua keo Tai Xiu phu thuoc vao phong do tan cong va phong ngu gan day cua ca hai doi.

Neu mot tran dau co su gop mat cua hai doi bong chuyen tan cong, chang han nhu hai doi thuong xuyen co tong ban thang tu 4 tro len, thi keo Tai 3.0 duoc coi la ro rang co kha nang xay ra cao. Nguoc lai, khi hai doi co loi choi phong ngu chat che, dac biet la cac tran dau loai truc tiep co tinh chat than trong, keo Xiu 2.0 hoac 2.25 lai tro nen ro rang hon.

Diem khac biet mau chot la: Keo chap noi ve ai thang, con keo Tai Xiu noi ve cach tran dau dien ra. Mot tran dau co keo chap rat ro rang van co the ve Xiu neu doi manh chu quan hoac choi cam chung. Do do, phan tich Tai Xiu doi hoi viec xem xet ky luong ve chien thuat du kien cua huan luyen vien.

Keo Chau Au (1X2): Su Ro Rang Trong Du Doan Tuyet Doi

Keo Chau Au (1X2) la keo don gian nhat: Thang (1), Hoa (X), Thua (2). Muc do "ro rang" cua keo nay duoc the hien truc tiep qua ty le an.

Mot tran dau co keo 1 (Doi nha thang) voi ty le 1.20, trong khi keo X va 2 co ty le tren 8.0, cho thay day la mot keo cuc ky ro rang ve ket qua cuoi cung theo danh gia cua thi truong. Dieu nay thuong xay ra khi doi nha co loi the san nha cuc lon, phong do huy diet va doi thu dang gap khung hoang luc luong.

Tuy nhien, su ro rang nay cung mang lai rui ro. Ty le an qua thap khong hap dan, va bat ky sai sot nho nao (the do, chan thuong som) deu co the khien keo nay do be. Nguoc lai, mot tran dau co ty le an cho ca ba cua gan bang nhau (vi du: 2.80 - 3.10 - 2.60) cho thay su khong ro rang, mot cuoc dau tri thuc su ma ket qua co the nghieng ve bat ky phia nao.

Yeu To Lam Mo Nhoa Su Ro Rang

Du keo cuoc co ve ro rang den dau, bong da luon an chua yeu to con nguoi va su may man. Cac yeu to sau day thuong lam thay doi tinh ro rang cua mot keo:

1. Thong tin chan thuong/treo gio phut chot: Su vang mat cua mot tru cot (thu mon, tien dao chu luc) co the ngay lap tuc lam giam muc chap (handicap) hoac thay doi quan diem ve tong ban thang.


2. Dong luc thi dau (Motivation): Doi bong yeu hon nhung dang chien dau tru hang hoac gianh ve tham du giai dau lon thuong thi dau voi tinh than khong the doan truoc, bat chap su chenh lech thuc luc.


3. Yeu to trong tai va thoi tiet: Cac dieu kien bat loi hoac quyet dinh gay tranh cai co the lam mat di su kiem soat cua doi cua tren, khien ket qua khong con ro rang nhu du kien.

Ket Luan: Nhin Thau Lop Vo Cua Keo Cuoc

Nam bat su ro rang trong keo ket qua bong da khong chi la nhin vao con so chap hay ty le an. Do la qua trinh tong hop thong tin tu thuc luc, phong do, chien thuat va ca nhung yeu to tam ly. Keo cuoc ro rang giup dinh huong ban dau, nhung nguoi choi thong thai luon tim hieu ky luong de nhan dien nhung "keo ro rang gia tao" – noi ma loi nhuan tiem an lai nam o ket qua it nguoi du doan nhat. Hay luon coi cac con so la diem khoi dau, khong phai diem ket thuc cua qua trinh phan tich tran dau. Xem them: Rik88, Bai viet lien quan: